OPEC+ Sees a Sharp Rise in US Gas Prices as Global Production Cut Looms
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies have taken an unexpected step, announcing plans to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting May. This bold move has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, leading to a significant spike in US gas prices.
As of Monday, Brent crude futures surged about 6% and WTI, the US benchmark, saw an equally impressive 6% gain, while gasoline futures shot up around 3%. The immediate impact on the market was swift, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, rising by approximately 8 cents per gallon.
Experts predict that US gas prices will continue to rise, potentially reaching levels of $3.80-$3.90 per gallon in a relatively short period. According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." He attributed this sudden increase to the White House's shock and concern over the impact on the economy.
Currently, US gas prices stand at $3.51 per gallon, just below the $3.53 average price recorded on February 23, 2022 – a day before Russia invaded Ukraine and sent oil prices soaring. While the US plans additional releases from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve and has increased oil production and refining capacity, experts caution that this latest cut by OPEC+ will be challenging to offset.
The significant reduction in global oil supply is seen as a motivating factor for OPEC+, which could potentially lead to a sustained increase in gas prices. Kloza warned that US drivers might not see prices drop back down to $5 per gallon anytime soon, but noted the possibility of prices reaching year-earlier levels by summer, especially if any major storms affect production along the Gulf Coast.
The recent price surge marks a stark contrast to last year's record-breaking highs, which peaked at around $5.02 per gallon in June 2022.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies have taken an unexpected step, announcing plans to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting May. This bold move has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, leading to a significant spike in US gas prices.
As of Monday, Brent crude futures surged about 6% and WTI, the US benchmark, saw an equally impressive 6% gain, while gasoline futures shot up around 3%. The immediate impact on the market was swift, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, rising by approximately 8 cents per gallon.
Experts predict that US gas prices will continue to rise, potentially reaching levels of $3.80-$3.90 per gallon in a relatively short period. According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." He attributed this sudden increase to the White House's shock and concern over the impact on the economy.
Currently, US gas prices stand at $3.51 per gallon, just below the $3.53 average price recorded on February 23, 2022 – a day before Russia invaded Ukraine and sent oil prices soaring. While the US plans additional releases from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve and has increased oil production and refining capacity, experts caution that this latest cut by OPEC+ will be challenging to offset.
The significant reduction in global oil supply is seen as a motivating factor for OPEC+, which could potentially lead to a sustained increase in gas prices. Kloza warned that US drivers might not see prices drop back down to $5 per gallon anytime soon, but noted the possibility of prices reaching year-earlier levels by summer, especially if any major storms affect production along the Gulf Coast.
The recent price surge marks a stark contrast to last year's record-breaking highs, which peaked at around $5.02 per gallon in June 2022.