OPEC+ Unleashes 'Inflation Monster': Oil Production Cut Sends US Gas Prices Soaring.
In a surprise move, OPEC+ announced on Sunday that it will slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May and ending in December. The decision sent shockwaves through the global energy market, causing Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, to jump about 6% in Monday's trading session.
The impact of this move was immediately felt at the pump, with gasoline futures soaring by around 8 cents per gallon, or 3%, as RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, shot up. This price hike will likely be passed on to US drivers more quickly than the corresponding spike in oil prices.
Energy analyst Tom Kloza described OPEC's move as a "reawakening of the inflation monster," stating that it would have a significant impact on US gas prices and may even push them above $4 per gallon. Kloza also noted that the average US regular gas price had dropped significantly since February 2022, falling from around $5.02 per gallon to $3.51 currently.
However, Kloza cautioned that despite the initial jump in prices, there are a few factors working against a sharp increase. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is set to release more oil, and domestic production and refining capacity have increased since 2022. Nevertheless, a cut of 1.6 million barrels per day by OPEC+ will be challenging to offset.
Despite this, Kloza remained bullish on the potential for gas prices to rise in the coming months, particularly if global production is disrupted by events such as hurricanes or storms affecting the Gulf Coast production area. While it's unlikely that US drivers will see gas prices reach $5 per gallon again, there's a possibility they could return above year-earlier levels by summer's end.
As one thing stands out, however – despite the current surge in oil prices, US gas prices remain remarkably close to where they were at around February 2022. This is largely due to the increased capacity of the US refining sector and the planned releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which have helped keep prices somewhat stable. Nevertheless, OPEC's production cut sends a clear message that global energy markets are shifting in unexpected ways, and US drivers can expect prices to continue rising in the coming weeks and months.
In a surprise move, OPEC+ announced on Sunday that it will slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May and ending in December. The decision sent shockwaves through the global energy market, causing Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, to jump about 6% in Monday's trading session.
The impact of this move was immediately felt at the pump, with gasoline futures soaring by around 8 cents per gallon, or 3%, as RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, shot up. This price hike will likely be passed on to US drivers more quickly than the corresponding spike in oil prices.
Energy analyst Tom Kloza described OPEC's move as a "reawakening of the inflation monster," stating that it would have a significant impact on US gas prices and may even push them above $4 per gallon. Kloza also noted that the average US regular gas price had dropped significantly since February 2022, falling from around $5.02 per gallon to $3.51 currently.
However, Kloza cautioned that despite the initial jump in prices, there are a few factors working against a sharp increase. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is set to release more oil, and domestic production and refining capacity have increased since 2022. Nevertheless, a cut of 1.6 million barrels per day by OPEC+ will be challenging to offset.
Despite this, Kloza remained bullish on the potential for gas prices to rise in the coming months, particularly if global production is disrupted by events such as hurricanes or storms affecting the Gulf Coast production area. While it's unlikely that US drivers will see gas prices reach $5 per gallon again, there's a possibility they could return above year-earlier levels by summer's end.
As one thing stands out, however – despite the current surge in oil prices, US gas prices remain remarkably close to where they were at around February 2022. This is largely due to the increased capacity of the US refining sector and the planned releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which have helped keep prices somewhat stable. Nevertheless, OPEC's production cut sends a clear message that global energy markets are shifting in unexpected ways, and US drivers can expect prices to continue rising in the coming weeks and months.