The Trump administration's push for gaining control of Greenland is a complex and multifaceted issue, with several possible avenues being explored.
At first glance, it might seem that armed invasion is an option, given the White House's repeated claims that using military force is always on the table. However, few experts believe this is likely to happen, citing concerns over Denmark's NATO membership and the potential for a backlash from other nations.
One alternative approach is buying Greenland outright, which has been floated as a possibility since 1867. The US has made several offers in the past, including a $100m bid in 1946, but Copenhagen has consistently rebuffed these attempts, citing Denmark's sovereignty over the territory and Greenlanders' right to self-determination.
In recent years, Trump has claimed that he intends to make Copenhagen an offer of its own, suggesting a potential reversal on this policy. While some analysts believe that buying the island is still possible, it would require significant concessions from Denmark and Greenland, including recognition of US control over the territory.
Another option is to sign a "compact of free association" (Cofa) deal with Greenland, which would grant the US protection, access to airbases, and other benefits in exchange for military cooperation. This arrangement has been proposed as a way to combine independence with economic advantage, and some analysts see it as the most plausible longer-term outcome.
The US already has wide military access to Greenland under various treaties, including one signed with Denmark in 1951 that allows for the construction of bases across the territory. While Copenhagen has signaled its willingness to expand US military presence on the island, any significant increase would likely face opposition from Danish analysts and potentially destabilize regional security.
The most extreme scenario is an armed invasion, which some analysts argue could be possible but is fraught with difficulties, including harsh weather conditions, potential resistance from Greenlanders, and widespread international condemnation. Danish officials have made it clear that such a move would be met with force, and Trump's own advisors have expressed concerns about the feasibility of such an operation.
Ultimately, the outcome will depend on negotiations between the US, Denmark, and Greenland, as well as the willingness of each party to compromise and find common ground.
At first glance, it might seem that armed invasion is an option, given the White House's repeated claims that using military force is always on the table. However, few experts believe this is likely to happen, citing concerns over Denmark's NATO membership and the potential for a backlash from other nations.
One alternative approach is buying Greenland outright, which has been floated as a possibility since 1867. The US has made several offers in the past, including a $100m bid in 1946, but Copenhagen has consistently rebuffed these attempts, citing Denmark's sovereignty over the territory and Greenlanders' right to self-determination.
In recent years, Trump has claimed that he intends to make Copenhagen an offer of its own, suggesting a potential reversal on this policy. While some analysts believe that buying the island is still possible, it would require significant concessions from Denmark and Greenland, including recognition of US control over the territory.
Another option is to sign a "compact of free association" (Cofa) deal with Greenland, which would grant the US protection, access to airbases, and other benefits in exchange for military cooperation. This arrangement has been proposed as a way to combine independence with economic advantage, and some analysts see it as the most plausible longer-term outcome.
The US already has wide military access to Greenland under various treaties, including one signed with Denmark in 1951 that allows for the construction of bases across the territory. While Copenhagen has signaled its willingness to expand US military presence on the island, any significant increase would likely face opposition from Danish analysts and potentially destabilize regional security.
The most extreme scenario is an armed invasion, which some analysts argue could be possible but is fraught with difficulties, including harsh weather conditions, potential resistance from Greenlanders, and widespread international condemnation. Danish officials have made it clear that such a move would be met with force, and Trump's own advisors have expressed concerns about the feasibility of such an operation.
Ultimately, the outcome will depend on negotiations between the US, Denmark, and Greenland, as well as the willingness of each party to compromise and find common ground.